Week 11 Predictions: We Want Upsets


My copy of NCAA 14 on my PS3 decided to cooperate this week, so he’s back in the mix. It probably has something to do with me going 14-0 last week. I was already in the lead, but now it’s almost insurmountable. Stupid computers.

Right now my predictions are hitting at a 84.8% click. After going 14-0 last week, there’s no where else to go but down. It won’t happen, though, because we’re going like this <does that thing Gus does in postgame speeches where he makes his hand look like it’s an airplane>. If you would like to prove your worth with your picks and try to do better than my 48.9% accuracy against the spread, you can do so here. Make sure to do it today, there are two games on the slate tonight.

This Week: 11-3 (78.6%), ATS at PickOrPlay.com: 5-7 (41.7%)
EA NCAA 14: 9-5 (64.3%)

Last Week
: 14-0 (100%), ATS at PickOrPlay.com: 7-5 (58.3%)
EA NCAA 14: 0-0 (0%)

Overall: 112-20 (84.8%), ATS at PickOrPlay.com: 50-54 (48.1%)
EA NCAA 14: 95-37 (72.0%)

11/9

Vanderbilt at Florida (-10) – I don’t know for sure because I don’t pay much attention to Vanderbilt, but I’m pretty sure all of the “big” wins of the Franklin era have come at home. I don’t care how bad Florida is, they should have enough to knock off the Commodores.

EA: Florida 23, Vanderbilt 20 – FAILURE
WB: Florida 31, Vanderbilt 13FAILURE

Vanderbilt 34, Florida 17

Missouri (-13.5) at Kentucky – This is a pretty low line, right? The Tigers just beat Tennessee by 28. Kentucky is 2-5. What am I missing here? Does Vegas know something? Of course they do, but Missouri will still win in an easy blowout.

EA: Missouri 31, Kentucky 9 – SUCCESS!
WB: Missouri 38, Kentucky 7 – SUCCESS!

Missouri 48, Kentucky 17

Arkansas at Ole Miss (-17) – It’s just a known thing that a team that Auburn doesn’t absolutely kill (Arkansas) will be killed by a team that Auburn already beat as well (Ole Miss). It just happens that way. All the time. Last week was Arkansas’s, or more importantly Bret Bielema’s Super Bowl. It’s over, and so is everything Arkansas lives for.

EA: Arkansas 35, Ole Miss 21 – FAILURE
WB: Ole Miss 45, Arkansas 14SUCCESS!

Ole Miss 34, Arkansas 24

Appalachian State at Georgia (No line) – Remember when Appalachian State beat Michigan? If something like that ever were to happen again, it would happen to Georgia, wouldn’t it? I mean, it totally would. But it won’t this week. Sorry for the build up.

EA: Georgia 55, Appalachian State 6 – SUCCESS!
WB: Georgia 34, Appalachian State 20SUCCESS!

Georgia 45, Appalachian State 6

Mississippi State at Texas A&M (-19.5) – That thing I mentioned in the Arkansas-Ole Miss blurb? Yeah, that applies here, too. Mississippi State is done. Dan Mullen is done. Manziel for 600.

EA: Texas A&M 42, Mississippi State 30 – SUCCESS!
WB: Texas A&M 49, Mississippi State 28SUCCESS!

Texas A&M 51, Mississippi State 41

LSU at Alabama (-12.5) – You all may want LSU to beat Alabama. I know that’s just what’s in your blood. But if you are looking sky-high like I am, Auburn really needs Alabama to be at the top when the Iron Bowl comes around in three weeks. Beating an undefeated Alabama is much more impressive than beating a one-loss Alabama. So while it would lighten the load right now and give much room for talking of the trash persuasion, we need Alabama to win. I physically hurt when I typed that.

EA: Alabama 24, LSU 17 – SUCCESS!
WB: Alabama 28, LSU 17SUCCESS!

Alabama 38, LSU 17

Auburn (-7.5) at Tennessee Check my game preview tomorrow for my thoughts, but just know that EA really hates Auburn this year. Stupid computers.

EA: Tennessee 13, Auburn 10 – FAILURE
WB: Auburn 41, Tennessee 10 – SUCCESS!

Auburn 55, Tennessee 23

And now for the national games to fill out the pick ’em slate…

Oklahoma at Baylor (-16.5) (11/7) – I’m really torn on this one. At first glance you think Baylor needs to lose for Auburn’s best interest because it knocks them out from a higher spot in the rankings. But with as much as the polls have liked Oklahoma despite getting slaughtered by Texas, a Sooner win will likely vault them over Auburn in the polls. I don’t think that will matter anyway. Baylor will roll.

EA:  Oklahoma 30, Baylor 14 – FAILURE
WB: Baylor 45, Oklahoma 23 – SUCCESS!

Baylor 41, Oklahoma 12

Oregon (-10.5) at Stanford (11/7) – What I just said up there about Oklahoma-Baylor goes for this one as well. The only difference is that Stanford is already ahead of Auburn. Beating Oregon would put them even higher despite a loss to Utah. UTAH! It’s their only conference win! I think this upset is more likely than the one above, but not enough to actually call it.

EA: Stanford 30, Oregon 12 – SUCCESS!
WB: Oregon 45, Stanford 28FAILURE

Stanford 26, Oregon 20

Kansas State at Texas Tech (-2.5) Texas Tech has fallen off the wagon after two Blogle-predicted losses to Oklahoma and Oklahoma State. It was fun while it lasted wasn’t it, Mr. 5 o’clock shadow? Did I just type that. Red Raiders win in a blowout.

EA: Kansas State 31, Texas Tech 14 – SUCCESS!
WB: Texas Tech 42, Kansas State 10FAILURE

Kansas State 49, Texas Tech 26

USC (-16.5) at California – Wow, so Cal is bad this year, huh? Who knew? Not me. Anybody find themselves pulling for USC and Ed Orgeron? I mean, I don’t want them to win it all or anything, but I kinda don’t mind them right now. I have no idea what’s wrong with me.

EA: USC 48, California 21 – SUCCESS!
WB: USC 31, California 7SUCCESS!

USC 62, California 28

Nebraska at Michigan (-6.5) I have lost any faith in Michigan that I never really ever had. Nebraska beat Northwestern on a legitimate Hail Mary last week, so I guess they have the momentum?

EA: Nebraska 31, Michigan 21 – SUCCESS!
WB: Nebraska 17, Michigan 14SUCCESS!

Nebraska 17, Michigan 13

Virginia Tech at Miami (-7) – Miami has a huge detriment with the season-ending injury of their starting running back. His name is Duke. Virginia Tech has a huge detriment to their offense. His name is Loeffler. Seriously, beat them by 100, Hurricanes.

EA: Miami 44, Virginia Tech 35SUCCESS!
WB: Miami 24, Virginia Tech 13 – SUCCESS!

Virginia Tech 42, Miami 24

Florida State (-35) at Wake Forest – Wake Forest almost beat Miami. Florida State did beat Miami… by a lot. Transitive property in full effect. EA Sports is on crack.

EA: Wake Forest 41, Florida State 21 – FAILURE
WB: Florida State 51, Wake Forest 7 – SUCCESS!

Florida State 59, Wake Forest 3

Now use all of the knowledge you just gained and go make your picks. If you’re not taken directly to the group after you login/register, just go to the groups link and search ‘warblogle.’ Remember, each week is separate. If you missed last week, no excuses.

Reminder: there are two big games tonight, so get your picks for those today.